Campaign Budget Estimate (MP4-025)

Total: Rs 65-95 Crore

Digital Campaign

Rs 4-6 Cr

70% of near-term

Rallies & Events

Rs 25-35 Cr

117 constituencies × 3-5 events

Booth-Level Contact

Rs 15-20 Cr

25K booth + 1.25L workers

Media Buy & Ads

Rs 15-25 Cr

Phase 3-4 paid media

Manifesto & Comms

Rs 2-3 Cr

Nyay Patra printing

Surveys & Analytics

Rs 3-5 Cr

3 independent surveys

NRI Outreach

Rs 1-2 Cr

IOC activation

Legal & Rapid Response

Rs 1-2 Cr

Defamation, rapid rebuttal

Note: Congress-internal estimates. AAP spending may be higher given incumbent advantage and Punjab government resources.

MP9 Resources — Budget Allocation & Cost Benchmarks

Budget head % • Constituency tiers • Cost-per-vote • AICC allocation (MP9-003, MP9-014)

Consolidated Budget Allocation (MP9-003)

Media & Advertising

35-40%

Rs 17.5-35 Cr

Transportation & Fleet

20-25%

Rs 12-20 Cr

Staffing & Consultants

8-10%

Rs 4-8 Cr

Events & Rallies

12-15%

Rs 7-12 Cr

Logistics & Infrastructure

5-8%

Rs 3-6 Cr

Legal & Compliance

2-3%

Rs 1.5-3 Cr

Emergency Reserve

10-15%

Rs 7.5-12 Cr

TOTAL

Rs 52-96 Cr

Min to Optimal

Constituency Tier Allocation (MP9-003)

Battleground (15-20 seats)2.5-3x

Swing seats with 8,000 vote margin. 60% of discretionary spend allocated here.

Rs 40-50 L per AC

Swing (30-40 seats)1.5-2x

30% of discretionary spend. Targeted outreach.

Rs 25-35 L per AC

Safe (60+ seats)1x

10% of discretionary spend. Maintenance mode.

Rs 15-20 L per AC

Cost-Per-Vote Benchmarks (MP9-014)

Congress 2022 Actual

Rs 18.01 L

Per winning MLA (~45% of limit)

AAP 2022 Winning Avg

Rs 17.66 L

Per winning MLA

ECI Spending Limit

Rs 40 L

Per candidate (2022 Punjab)

Competitive Threshold

Rs 20-25 L

Per candidate for viable campaign

AICC Allocation to Punjab (MP9-003)

National Reserve Estimate

Congress all-India reserves (2024):Rs 133 Cr
Punjab allocation (30-40%):Rs 40-53 Cr
Small donor projection:Rs 5-10 Cr
Estimated Punjab total:Rs 45-63 Cr

Fund Release Tranches (MP9-003)

Tranche 1 (Nominations):20% of allocation
Tranche 2 (Campaign mid-point):50% of allocation
Tranche 3 (Final week):30% of allocation
Milestone-based release:ECI compliance

MP9-004: Peak Staff Structure — 370 Personnel

War room staffing model • Command structure • Consultant roles

Core Leadership

8-10

Campaign Mgr, Finance, Field, Comms, Data, Rapid Response

State HQ Staff

25-35

Digital, Research, Compliance, Logistics

District Coordinators

69-92

23 districts x 3-4 staff (Field, Comms, Data)

Constituency Staff

117-234

117 ACs x 1-2 coordinators (optional per AC)

War Room Command Structure

Strategy Unit

Message planning

Constituency prioritization

Voter segmentation

Data & Analytics Unit

Voter data management

Booth-level reports

Digital metrics, survey inputs

Media & Communication

Press coordination

Narrative control

Social media operations

Field Coordination

Booth workers

Mandal pradhans

Ground-level execution

Rapid Response

Misinformation rebuttal

Opposition attack response

Crisis communication

Legal & Logistics Cell

ECI compliance

EVM management

MCC violation response

Note: Staff costs should not exceed 10% of total campaign budget. Peak 370 includes consultants (Inclusive Minds/I-PAC retainer) and fellowship positions (IIT/IIM recruits).

Transportation & Fleet Management

Vehicle fleet • GOTV logistics • Budget breakdown (MP9-007)

Statewide Fleet Budget

₹130-140 Cr

Total transportation cost statewide

Per Constituency

₹9.93 L

Average cost per AC (3-month campaign)

Vehicle Share

25-35%

Of total campaign expenditure

GOTV Transport

₹75K/AC

Per AC voter transport (15 days)

Vehicle Fleet Composition (Per AC)

Candidate SUV (6-month lease)₹2.7 L
LED Campaign Van x2 (3-month)₹1.92 L
GOTV Vehicles x10 (15 days)₹75 K
Fuel Fund (3 months)₹1.5 L
Driver Costs x4 (3 months)₹2.16 L
Total Per AC₹9.93 L

Procurement Model

60-70%

Rental (Primary)

Tata Ace LED: ₹18-30K/month

15-25%

Lease (Secondary)

Core fleet vehicles, 6-month commitment

10-15%

Volunteer Vehicles

Fuel + maintenance reimbursement

Key Insight: LED campaign vans account for 40-50% of vehicle budget. GPS tracking mandatory for all candidate-level vehicles.