Competition Management
AAP • SAD • BJP • BSP analysis • Vote bank tracking • 2027 Assembly
BJP-SAD Alliance Broken — March 2026
Amit Shah confirms BJP will fight solo in 2027. 30+ year alliance ended.
AAP Fell 5 Seats Short of Majority — 2022
AAP won 92 seats on 42.01% vote share. Needed 97 for majority (59 seats).
BJP Vote Share Triple: 6.6% → 18.6% (2024)
BJP tripled vote share from 2022 Assembly. Now Punjab's 3rd largest party.
7 Rajya Sabha MPs Defected to BJP — April 2026
Key AAP Punjab strategists jumped ship. Mass defection wave in April 2026.
SAD Split — August 11, 2025
SAD (Punar Surjit) formed under Giani Harpreet Singh. Two factions competing.
Akal Takht Ultimatum — May 2026
Jathedar Kuldip Singh Gargaj gave 15-day ultimatum over sacrilege law.
AAP Current Seats
92
2022 Assembly results
SAD Current Seats
3
2022 results (post-split)
BJP Vote Share
18.6%
Up from 6.6% in 2022
Congress Current Seats
18
2022 results
Congress Seats Needed
Net +41
18 → 59 (majority mark)
BJP Lok Sabha 2024
5/13
Best-ever Punjab result
Dera Influence
40-50
Seats affected
Youth Unemployment
14.9%
4th highest in India
Competition Sections
AAP Analysis
AAP SWOT, broken promises, internal factions, seat vulnerabilities
SAD Status
SAD party status, factions, alliance breakdown
BJP Growth
BJP growth trajectory, going solo 2027, organizational infrastructure
Caste Demographics
Caste coalition math, vote bank breakdown
Regional Analysis
Malwa, Majha, Doaba regional dynamics
Synthesis
M1 Mega-Pillar synthesis, competitor intelligence summary